Monday, March 16, 2020

Thoughts For The Week By Ron Owen.


Thoughts For The Week
“Insanity in individuals is something rare – but in groups, parties, nations and epochs, it is the Rule.”
Each month this bulletin is sent out to 10,000 people, (most of the people that it is passed on to are not firearm owners).  I receive by email, phone, face book and personally about 50 compliments and two or three Unsubscribe. The only negative comments, (about 3 a year) centre on ‘my scaremongering’. However, if that was really my objective, or my personal insanity, I would be advocating that people resort to their ‘Bunkers’, or like other scaremongers, selling the build a bunker plans and doomsday preppers guide list, buy gold bullion and don’t forget to buy a packet of ammo before you bury yourself. Please let me know if you can find any of this in the previous 165 editions?
My real objective and I’m sorry if it comes across to all the readers, is to provoke thought and expose the claptrap that emanates from Government and mainstream media, so that at least we can find some realism behind the blindfolds and take political action to keep Australia safe in a very troubled world. If its scary that is not my fault.
Governments are the ones who use the “scaremongering’ tactics usually with an agenda, not always obvious to us at the time. Currently, its, “Don’t panic about the coronavirus”. (COVID-19)  Governments naturally have an aversion to panic. The present official response is “make sure you wash your hands frequently and cough into your elbow. Buy in a good supply of hand cleaner and disinfectants”.
Unlike previous epidemics like Sars and HIV this one is airborne, so coughing into your elbow might stop you from passing it on, but it does nothing for your protection, same with the mask, it might suppress your ability to pass it on to others. The masks only protection is to stop you from touching your nose and mouth if your hands are contaminated, but you have to breath and if its being pumped out of an air conditioner the mask will not filter it out.
The Commonwealth Government Medical officer did a stint before the camera’s to allay fears, stating that, “at present fatalities are only 2 % of those infected,” (never mentioning that the majority of the infected figures are still sick and might never recover to full health) and said, “ that the Chinese Government may have not got an accurate “infected figure” and if that figure was double then the fatality rate would only be 1%. Anyone, who thinks can soon work out that if the Chinese Government minimalised the infection rate that they would be easily capable of reducing the fatality rate to a greater extent. So by admitting that the figures he was basing his proposition on could be wrong, made it all meaningless.  The figures coming out of Iran are much more thought provocative.
Thursday 27th Feb 20“According to official figures, 26 people have died and close to 250 have been diagnosed with COVIS-19, revealing a much higher death rate from infections than the world average of around 3 percent”. That’s over 10 % and the infected have not all fully recovered as yet. Today’s figures Monday 2nd March 20 BBC report 210 dead and 925 infected.
This government campaign to get everyone to “Wash Their Hands” reminds me of Pontius Pilate publically washing his hands of the matter and giving the Jews the choice to execute Jesus or not. He did not want the blood on his hands, so to is our government’s response, “You catch the Virus because you did not wash your hands enough”. Your life or death is your responsibility not ours”.
Yet they say the 180 degree reverse when we ask for the Right to Carry Firearms for our Defence. Then their answer is your personal security is our responsibility, this is why we have the Police Force, Your Safety Is Our Concern, Not Yours.  So we know to phone 000 and wait to die.  Death is seconds away and the police will turn up maybe in 45 minutes or maybe tomorrow.
We are all shocked about the wife and three children purposely incinerated in a car, we all hear constantly about domestic violence but when the government disarms the most vulnerable what hope do they have against any other human being who has the fore planning and the intent?
Governments Are Like A Sinking Ship.
Rather then Panic they would save the Captain and make sure that the Passengers and Crew went to the Bottom.
In the 1960s Government Had the Bunkers, the People had the 3 minutes Warning.
I am also reminded of the Government ‘Don’t Panic Campaign” in the 1960s when Britain was the most vulnerable target during the Cuban Missile Crisis. The USSR had lots of the biggest and most powerful thermo nuclear bombs ever made available to them. Britain had spent a Kings ransom on early warning systems which gave the government 4 minutes before impact. Just 8 of the Russian 50 Megaton would kill everyone or at best leave a few survivors in stone age conditions.
Tsar Bomba 50 Megaton Bomb.
The 50 Megaton Hydrogen Bombs are believed to be equivalent to the explosive power from the simultaneous detonation of 3,800 Hiroshima bombs all at once. The crater would be 30 miles wide, if one of these bombs was dropped in central London, the thermal radiation radius would stretch 47.88 miles diameter, meaning people as far south as Eastbourne and as north as Cambridge would suffer third-degree burns and be trapped by firestorms.

London, the red circle is the crater and outer area the consumed.
The British are known for their stoical resilience, but the government responded in the usual way by keeping the people in ignorance. The people knew that nuclear weapons were devastating they knew that at Hiroshima one bomb had killed 150,000 people and that the USSR might have 200 bombs to throw at Britain out of its arsenal of 1000s, but they like good soldiers would always be able to believe that would happen to the other guy and we will be alright. The people knew that the Russians had Hydrogen bombs but were kept in the dark as to the full potential of the threat.

The government printed pamphlets “How To Survive” “Survive and Protect” over a twenty year period, and gave suggestions on the Radio and TV in the same manner as the Commonwealth Medical Officer above who said “Wash Your Hands” but that time it was instructions on buying Brown paper and sticky tape to keep out the Gamma Radiation fallout or if you have no Brown Paper as all the dutiful housewives quickly emptied the shops we were told to paint the windows with whitewash and in the 3 minutes after the air raid sirens went off we had to reinforce the kitchen table and shelter underneath it and not come out for a fortnight.

Like now with the worlds greatest pestilent threat, the dilemma for the government at that time was that they knew that their guides “weren’t necessarily particularly useful.” quote
“But at the same time, they had to be seen to be producing something, as they couldn’t just admit that we’d all die,” They announced years later. “If they produce the stuff, people will criticise it as being useless. If they don’t produce it, then they’ll be criticised for not doing anything.”
The pamphlets were less about imparting knowledge and more about preventing negative public responses such as riots. A few years ago a writer researching his book, he found a note by one of the civil servants who prepared
Protect and Survive:
It said something like, ‘We must make people believe that they can survive.’ Not that they could survive, but they needed to believe they could – that kind of sums up the whole thing. And even if you did survive, then what? You’ve survived into hell on Earth. Is there any point in living whilst envying the dead?”
It’s a human response, the people in charge knew that people would die, but it seems for government that death is preferable to panic.
With a more modern example.
The recommendation to stay in the inner refuge has similarities with the London Fire Service’s advice in June 2017 to the occupants of Grenfell Tower who were told to stay in their apartments. Grenfell Tower had a ‘stay put’ fire policy – essentially, the building design would contain a fire in a single flat for as long as it took fire crews to bring it under control.

So on the night, residents were told to remain in their flats by the emergency services, only later to become trapped as the fire blazed out of control and thick poisonous smoke spread up the single narrow stairwell. This fire which destroyed Grenfell Tower in June 2017 was one of the UK’s worst modern disasters. “Just before 01:00 on 14 June, fire broke out in the kitchen of a fourth floor flat at the 23 storey tower block in North Kensington, West London. Within minutes, the fire had raced up the exterior of the building and then spread to all four sides. By 03:00, most of the upper floors were well alight.
At the Inquiry, Dr Lane said that the stay put policy had “substantially failed” by 01:26 – less than 30 minutes after the first firefighters were at the scene.
The stay put advice was finally abandoned at 02:47, when the incident commander gave the order to “advise people to make efforts to leave the building.”
Counsel to the Grenfell inquiry Richard Millet QC told the 4 June 2018 hearing that 144 people managed to evacuate before 01:38, but only 36 after the stay put guidance was abandoned. Seventy-two people died that night.
WUHAN, Feb. 18, 2020 (Xinhua) — Photo taken on Feb. 17, 2020 with a tilt-shift lens shows a temporary hospital converted from Wuhan Sports Center in Wuhan, central China’s Hubei Province.
As Usual Australia is Sleep Walking to Disaster.
Washing our Hands is important, but with no cure, no vaccine, no magic bullet the only factor that slows the virus progress is quarantine. Our government had all the advanced time to organise our biological defences as the Wuhan outbreak was announced to the world in November 2019. If it wanted to protect Australia all incoming passengers and crew, sea and air should have been placed in Quarantine gosh they do that with our dogs and cats to safeguard our pets why could they not do this to protect the people? The answer to that one is sadly simple. Government knows our borders are not secure, (not just Northern Australian ports) eventually one person from a fishing boat could bring it in without their own knowledge, they knew that total Quarantine would have to be in place for 12 months and that people would have to stay in quarantine for at least 14 days. Qantas and the tourist industry would close down and worse than that it would cause people to … Panic.

On Sunday 10th March Health Minister Greg Hunt announces that they have purchased another 54 million face masks. That does not mean that we the people get two each, it means that they are expecting a huge epidemic and announced that these masks are for the health department staff.
No Matter What Anyone Says, No One Really Knows How Many Are Infected, or How Many Fatalities.
Knowing that the Chinese Government never tells the truth, especially when they do not want to cause Panic, only admitting to its diagnosis a month after it began and then minimalising the infected and deaths is quite normal. ( Remember, they claimed that only 8 to 100 people died after the Tiananmen Square purge, they have suppressed the millions of deaths due to their Great Leap Forward and Cultural Revolution for 50 years)
A fortnight ago I did some sums using the figures released by the so called experts that access that each person infected has a 14 day period before symptoms appear in which they spread the Virus, which they calculate infects an average of 14 other people. This is called the reproduction number. The average is probably calculated where one person goes on a cruise ship and infects 3000 people, or another helps at an aged care centre and infects 294 and another person infects no one else.

Not If When.
My figures (and I hope Im wrong)
In Australia when 50 are infected, they will each infect 14 others within the time that they are unaware they have it and the time they are quarantined. (These figures so not allow for the percentage of people that have it and will spread it but never show any symptoms at all, or the people who have it and are diagnosed with some other ailment) But the government has already done these figures or similar ones and they know we are all going to be exposed to it.
14 day Infection period
Number
x      14
1
50
700
2
700
9,800
3
9,800
137,200
4
137,200
1,920,800
5
1,920,800
26,891,200
As you can see only quarantine can prevent us all from all being infected to some degree.
Today it was announced that Australia had 74 people diagnosed with the Virus.
The number of countries affected by coronavirus has grown to 95.
105,000 people have now been offically diagnosed with corona virus and 3600 is the official number of fatalities.
The Harvard epidemiology professor Marc Lipsitch said “I think the likely outcome is that it will ultimately not be containable.” Lipsitch predicts that within the coming year, some 40 to 70 percent of people around the world will be infected with the virus that causes COVID-19. But, he clarifies emphatically, this does not mean that all will have severe illnesses. “It’s likely that many will have mild disease, or may be asymptomatic,” he said. As with influenza, which is often life-threatening to people with chronic health conditions and of older age, most cases pass without medical care. (Overall, about 14 percent of people with influenza have no symptoms.)

“Whatever the number is, it’s gonna take a toll. If it really does spread as widely as that projection says, and that’s what I think is likely to happen, then there are gonna be millions of people dying. And I don’t think there’s any way to get around that. And so I think there’s real reason for people to be concerned. I also think that we can turn that concern into actions that will make the situation better. I think it is now almost inevitable that this will transmit in a global fashion and take a big toll on essentially the entire globe. I just don’t see any way around that given the number of places where we know about it and the number of places where we haven’t looked, and therefore, can infer that some of those places also probably have it.”
On Tuesday (March 5), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, director-general of the World Health Organization, said during a news conference that about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 patients around the world have died. In a Chinese analysis of more than 72,000 case records, 2.3% of those confirmed or suspected (based on symptoms and exposure) to have the virus died. Patients above 80 years of age had an alarmingly high fatality rate of 14.8%. Patients ages 70 to 79 years had a fatality rate of 8%. In Italy, where the death toll from the virus stood at 52 as of March 4, the fatalities were all in people over age 60.
These numbers shouldn’t be taken as the inevitable toll of the virus, however. The case-fatality rate is determined by dividing the number of deaths by the total number of cases and we are only working on fatalities figures mainly sourced from China. As Australia is an aging population and the World figure 3.4 % figure has to be compared and averaged with the figures coming from Iran and Florida (also with an aging population) we should plan for 5% and so that could come to about a million people mainly in the over 60s.
What You Should Know. (This was sent to me by friends in the USA)
James Robb, MD UC San Diego.
Subject: What I am doing for the upcoming COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic
“Dear Colleagues, as some of you may recall, when I was a professor of pathology at the University of California San Diego, I was one of the first molecular virologists in the world to work on coronaviruses (the 1970s). I was the first to demonstrate the number of genes the virus contained. Since then, I have kept up with the coronavirus field and its multiple clinical transfers into the human population (e.g., SARS, MERS), from different animal sources.
The current projections for its expansion in the US are only probable, due
to continued insufficient worldwide data, but it is most likely to be widespread in the US by mid to late March and April.
Here is what I have done and the precautions that I take and will take.
These are the same precautions I currently use during our influenza seasons, except for the mask and gloves.:
1) NO HANDSHAKING! Use a fist bump, slight bow, elbow bump, etc.
2) Use ONLY your knuckle to touch light switches. elevator buttons, etc.. Lift the gasoline dispenser with a paper towel or use a disposable glove.
3) Open doors with your closed fist or hip – do not grasp the handle with your hand, unless there is no other way to open the door. Especially important on bathroom and post office/commercial doors.
4) Use disinfectant wipes at the stores when they are available, including wiping the handle and child seat in grocery carts.
5) Wash your hands with soap for 10-20 seconds and/or use a greater than 60% alcohol-based hand sanitizer whenever you return home from ANY activity that involves locations where other people have been.
6) Keep a bottle of sanitizer available at each of your home’s entrances. AND in your car for use after getting gas or touching other contaminated objects when you can’t immediately wash your hands.
7) If possible, cough or sneeze into a disposable tissue and discard. Use your elbow only if you have to. The clothing on your elbow will contain infectious virus that can be passed on for up to a week or more!
What I have stocked in preparation for the pandemic spread to the US:
1) Latex or nitrile latex disposable gloves for use when going shopping, using the gasoline pump, and all other outside activity when you come in contact with contaminated areas.
Note: This virus is spread in large droplets by coughing and sneezing. This means that the air will not infect you! BUT all the surfaces where these droplets land are infectious for about a week on average – everything that is associated with infected people will be contaminated and potentially infectious. The virus is on surfaces and you will not be infected unless your unprotected face is directly coughed or sneezed upon. This virus only has cell receptors for lung cells (it only infects your lungs) The only way for the virus to infect you is through your nose or mouth via your hands or an infected cough or sneeze onto or into your nose or mouth.
2) Stock up now with disposable surgical masks and use them to prevent you from touching your nose and/or mouth (We touch our nose/mouth 90X/day without knowing it!). This is the only way this virus can infect you – it is lung-specific. The mask will not prevent the virus in a direct sneeze from getting into your nose or mouth – it is only to keep you from touching your nose or mouth.
3) Stock up now with hand sanitizers and latex/nitrile gloves (get the appropriate sizes for your family). The hand sanitizers must be alcohol-based and greater than 60% alcohol to be effective.
4) Stock up now with zinc lozenges. These lozenges have been proven to be effective in blocking coronavirus (and most other viruses) from multiplying in your throat and nasopharynx. Use as directed several times each day when you begin to feel ANY “cold-like” symptoms beginning. It is best to lie down and let the lozenge dissolve in the back of your throat and nasopharynx. Cold-Eeze lozenges is one brand available, but there are other brands available.
I, as many others do, hope that this pandemic will be reasonably contained, BUT I personally do not think it will be. Humans have never seen this snake-associated virus before and have no internal defense against it.
Tremendous worldwide efforts are being made to understand the molecular and clinical virology of this virus. Unbelievable molecular knowledge about the genomics, structure, and virulence of this virus has already been achieved.
BUT, there will be NO drugs or vaccines available this year to protect us or limit the infection within us. Only symptomatic support is available.
I hope these personal thoughts will be helpful during this potentially
catastrophic pandemic. You are welcome to share this email. Good luck to all of us! Jim
James Robb, MD FCAP
This came from a Doctor who’s graduated with a master’s degree and who worked in Shenzhen Hospital (Guangdong Province, China) and sent him the following notes on Coronavirus for guidance:
1. If you have a runny nose and sputum, you have a common cold
2. Coronavirus pneumonia is a dry cough with no runny nose.
3. This new virus is not heat-resistant and will be killed by a temperature of just 26/27 degrees. It hates the Sun.
4. If someone sneezes with it, it takes about 10 feet before it drops to the ground and is no longer airborne.
5. If it drops on a metal surface it will live for at least 12 hours – so if you come into contact with any metal surface – wash your hands as soon as you can with a bacterial soap.
6. On fabric it can survive for 6-12 hours. normal laundry detergent will kill it.
7. Drinking warm water is effective for all viruses. Try not to drink liquids with ice.
8. Wash your hands frequently as the virus can only live on your hands for 5-10 minutes, but – a lot can happen during that time – you can rub your eyes, pick your nose unwittingly and so on.
9. You should also gargle as a prevention. A simple solution of salt in warm water will suffice.
10. Can’t emphasize enough – drink plenty of water!
THE SYMPTOMS
1. It will first infect the throat, so you’ll have a sore throat lasting 3/4 days
2. The virus then blends into a nasal fluid that enters the trachea and then the lungs, causing pneumonia. This takes about 5/6 days further.
3. With the pneumonia comes high fever and difficulty in breathing.
4. The nasal congestion is not like the normal kind. You feel like you’re drowning. It’s imperative you then seek immediate attention.
The only points that have not been covered above is that like Legionaries’ disease this Virus can live comfortably in air conditioners and re infect all who breath the air as it operates in low temperatures even minus centigrade and can survive up to the low 20 C.
All we can do is to keep as healthy as we can when we can so that our antibodies can fight it off when we are confronted with the virus. The Government has wasted our resources checking body temperature at the airports as most who are infected would not be showing symptoms, but could have by imposing stricter quarantine restrictions contain much of the spread, But that might cause Panic, and it would be a very difficult pill for the government to take.
This is not China’s Chernobyl.
China is still the Dragon on Australia’s Doorstep, and even if it lost 200 million people it would not go back to sleep. Its military and commercial industries are undamaged, even if they lost half of their population they would still have enough to work the factories and fill the armed forces. When China gets back to work there will be a world desperate for Chinese goods, its supply and demand and the Chinese will supply those who offer the highest price
“The hand that pours the ladle rules the world” The Foundry man.
We the western nations and Australia have bought and paid for the Chinese Industrial Colossus and now we ‘Kow -Tou’ to China in the same way that Chinese peasants Kow -Tou to the Emperor of China. The Coruna virus has caused shortages which have made us all aware of how dependent we are on China’s industry, yet no one suggests that we return to tarriffs on imported goods and with that extra money is used to pay bounties to exporters. A simple mechanism that built Australian industry prior to 1974 and the signing of the UN Lima Agreement. That same method built Chinese industry during the 1970s to date. Try to import a bicycle or a pair of binoculars into China and pay 7000 % tarriff /duty. We need Australian sovereign industries and work hard to create them, but we are betrayed by our own government and forced to compete using Chinese goods or face further closures of our industry.
Australia is ‘sleepwalking into an era of unprecedented danger’ with communist China

Sky News contributor Catherine McGregor says “For the first time since European settlement, we cannot rely on a major ally to provide the underpinning of our security,”
“The real risk emanating from China is its brutal totalitarian ideology and ruthless determination to pursue hegemony in our region – threatening our vital sea lanes of communication,”“we are sleepwalking into an era of unprecedented danger” in Australia, as the threat from China extends further than just the corona virus.”
Thank goodness other people have began to think and speak out.

Ayn Rand said
“Socialism is the doctrine that man has no right to exist for his own sake, that his life and his work do not belong to him, but belong to society, that the only justification of his existence is his service to society, and that society may dispose of him in any way it pleases for the sake of whatever it deems to be its own tribal, collective good.””
That describes perfectly the doctrine that China imposes on its people and wishes to expand into every country that it can control, we have to try and change its direction before we are swamped by the worst virus in the world. War.



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